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STRATEGY

MHX: The 2H HMA Trend-Follow System

~4 min readMonetum Intelligence Research

MHX is a systematic trend-following strategy developed internally at Monetum Intelligence. It runs on the 2-hour timeframe across BTC, ETH, SOL, and XRP on Binance Futures, using a Hull Moving Average crossover as its entry trigger with a native trailing stop for exit management.

It is the simplest strategy in the Monetum suite — deliberately so.

The Core Mechanism

The strategy uses a Hull Moving Average (HMA) — a weighted moving average designed to reduce lag compared to standard EMAs — on the 2-hour candle chart. When price closes above the HMA with sufficient momentum, a LONG is initiated. When price closes below with momentum, a SHORT is initiated.

Entry is via market order on confirmation. Each trade is immediately paired with:

  • ◆A trailing stop using a fixed percentage deviation from the peak/trough price reached during the trade. The trailing stop follows price as it moves in favour, locking in profit while allowing the trend to run.
  • ◆A single take profit limit order at a predetermined R-multiple target.

The position is closed either by the trailing stop (trend reversal) or the TP limit (target reached). There is no fixed stop loss — the trailing stop is the only exit mechanism on the loss side.

Why It Is Tracked Separately

MHX operates with different characteristics than the V8b signals:

V8b SignalsMHX
Timeframe4H / multi2H
StyleStructure-basedTrend-follow
EntryLimit / BOS confirmationMarket on HMA cross
ExitFixed SL + TPsTrailing stop
ExchangeKraken FuturesBinance Futures
Position sizeManualAutomated
Because MHX runs fully automated on Binance while V8b signals are manually executed on Kraken, the two strategies are structurally independent. A V8b SHORT on BTC and an MHX LONG on BTC can coexist without contradiction — they are on different venues, different timeframes, and managed by different exit logic.

Performance Context

MHX is a passive strategy — it is always in the market in one direction or the other. This means it captures large trending moves fully, but also accumulates losses during choppy, low-ADX conditions where the HMA generates frequent false crosses.

Its edge is concentrated in TRENDING regimes. In TRANSITIONING conditions, MHX performance is typically muted — it may enter and exit several times without meaningful net progress. Monitoring MHX results during non-trending periods is therefore less informative than its performance over full cycle data.

Live MHX trades and performance are tracked in the Signals section.

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